Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.023686 0.025473 0.027336 0.029427 0.031710 0.034130 0.036894
2024-12-29 0.020583 0.023100 0.025862 0.029127 0.032891 0.037112 0.042220
2025-01-05 0.018463 0.021390 0.024725 0.028824 0.033756 0.039530 0.046853
2025-01-12 0.016695 0.019832 0.023513 0.028185 0.034000 0.041057 0.050358
2025-01-19 0.015731 0.019101 0.023162 0.028463 0.035267 0.043796 0.055443
2025-01-26 0.014790 0.018301 0.022629 0.028419 0.036053 0.045903 0.059788
2025-02-02 0.014153 0.017820 0.022437 0.028755 0.037300 0.048630 0.065094
2025-02-09 0.013353 0.017067 0.021830 0.028480 0.037675 0.050166 0.068818
2025-02-16 0.012702 0.016464 0.021371 0.028352 0.038209 0.051912 0.072914
2025-02-23 0.012084 0.015864 0.020874 0.028125 0.038564 0.053393 0.076686
2025-03-02 0.011598 0.015414 0.020548 0.028104 0.039191 0.055273 0.081155
2025-03-09 0.011032 0.014824 0.019993 0.027715 0.039241 0.056282 0.084320
2025-03-16 0.010449 0.014185 0.019345 0.027163 0.039026 0.056890 0.086917
2025-03-23 0.010000 0.013718 0.018916 0.026908 0.039236 0.058150 0.090647
2025-03-30 0.009582 0.013272 0.018496 0.026637 0.039395 0.059323 0.094297
2025-04-06 0.009105 0.012721 0.017895 0.026056 0.039027 0.059618 0.096454
2025-04-13 0.008893 0.012548 0.017841 0.026309 0.039990 0.062117 0.102599
2025-04-20 0.008615 0.012265 0.017610 0.026269 0.040468 0.063830 0.107463
2025-04-27 0.008445 0.012135 0.017601 0.026575 0.041525 0.066572 0.114397
2025-05-04 0.008146 0.011797 0.017258 0.026325 0.041631 0.067676 0.118353
2025-05-11 0.007897 0.011525 0.017005 0.026208 0.041952 0.069164 0.123142
2025-05-18 0.007641 0.011233 0.016708 0.026001 0.042101 0.070348 0.127415
2025-05-25 0.007441 0.011021 0.016530 0.025981 0.042573 0.072134 0.133014